Aaron Tau vs. Namsrai Batbayar Prediction, Odds, Pick for UFC

UFC 325: Alexander Volkanovski vs. Diego Lopez 2 kicks off the preliminaries with a flyweight bout between Aaron Tau and Namsrai Batbayar on Saturday. Check out our UFC odds series for our Tau-Batbaiar prediction and selection.

Aaron Tau (11-1) enters UFC 325 swinging on his way to UFC Season 4. The hometown kickboxing product looks to end his tournament streak as he takes on Namsrai Batbayar this weekend.

Namsrai Batbayar (9-1) enters UFC 325 riding an impressive two-fight winning streak through Road to UFC Season 4. The 25-year-old finisher from Ulaanbaatar is looking to end his streak as he enters this weekend’s fight against Aaron Tau.

Here are the UFC 325 odds, thanks DraftKings.

UFC 325 odds: Aaron Tau-Namsrai Batbayar odds

Aaron Age: +114

Namsrai Batbayar: -135

Over 1.5 rounds: -175

Up to 1.5 rounds: +135

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Why Aaron Tau will win

• Last Fight: (V) Shuai Yin – DEC
• Last 5: 4-1
• Finish: 8 (7 KO/TKO/1 SUB)

Aaron Tau’s urban kickboxing pedigree gives him a decisive advantage in Saturday’s UFC 325 finale against Namsrai Batbayar. Training under Eugene Bareman alongside elite fighters such as Dan Hooker and Israel Adesania, Tau brings a sophisticated striking system combined with relentless ground and pound that defeated Rio Tirto in just 84 seconds. His 4.85 punches per minute and devastating clinch finishing instincts make him a nightmare matchup.

Batbaiar’s defensive vulnerabilities directly affect the Tau’s forces. The Mongolian’s 45% strike defense and tendency to overcommit to strikes leaves him vulnerable to counter punches, while his submission loss exposed defensive issues that Tau can exploit. Batbaiar too often loses ground in scrambles and relies on brute force over technical precision.

Tau’s stance-changing versatility and calculated aggression should allow him to control range early. Once he secures a clinch or a takedown, his brutal elbows and knees will overwhelm Batbayar’s suspect defenses. Citi Kickboxing’s game plan emphasizes intelligent pressure and finishing sequences—just what is needed against an aggressive but fit opponent.

Expect Tau to withstand Batbayar’s early aggression before imposing his will with superior technique and fighting IK, which he will stop by a second-round TKO on Saturday night.

Why Namsrai Batbaiar will win

• Last fight: (V) Agulai – SUB R1
• Last 5: 5-0
• Ends: 9 (4 KO/TKO/5 SUB)

Namsrai Batbayar’s fight-ending power gives him a clear path to victory Saturday night at UFC 325 against Aaron Tau. The Mongolian “Steppe Warrior” showed devastating knockout ability when he floored Wataru Yamauchi with a thunderous right hand followed by brutal hammerfists just 46 seconds into the second round, showing the power of a one-punch KO that can end fights instantly.

Batbayar’s submission skills are a dangerous Plan B that the Tau haven’t faced at this level. His slick smothering of Agulali at the back in the semi-final showcased technical tackling skills and dangerous neck attacks that take advantage of defensive lapses. Tau’s only career loss came via unanimous decision over Elijah Smith at Dana White’s Contender Series, revealing a vulnerability when facing well-rounded opponents with multiple paths to victory.

Batbayar’s relentless forward pressure and high work rate can overwhelm Tau’s measured, patient approach. Mongolian cardio allows him to maintain a grueling pace deep into fights, forcing exchanges where his power advantage becomes decisive. His physical strong wrestling and body lock game can neutralize Tau’s striking system in City Kickboxing.​​

Expect Batbayar to apply the pressure early, weather the initial storm and land his fight-ending right hand, or secure a submission as Tau tires, ending him in the second round and claiming a UFC contract.

Final prediction and selection of Aron Tau-Namsrai Batbaiar

This Road to UFC Season 4 flyweight finale features a fascinating stylistic showdown between the two finishers at UFC 325 on Saturday night.

Batbayar’s early power and relentless pressure pose a significant threat, but Tau’s urban kickboxing pedigree and technical striking system provide the tools to navigate the storm. The Mongolian’s tendency to overcommit on power shots and his defensive vulnerability create openings for Tau’s calculated counters and clinch entries.

Tau’s path to victory depends on surviving the first exchange and dragging Batbayar into deep waters where cardio and technique trump raw power. His superior coaching, versatility in changing stances and devastating ground and pound from top position give him multiple paths to victory as the fight progresses.

Expect Batbaiar to come out aggressive, looking for an early finish with heavy hands and forward pressure. However, Tau’s composure under fire and ability to impose work in the clinch should allow him to weather the early storm and take control in the second half to score a TKO and land a coveted UFC contract.

Final Aaron Tau-Namsrai Batbayar Prediction and Pick: Aaron Tau (+114), over 1.5 rounds (-175)