Broncos vs. Chiefs Prediction, Odds, Picks for Christmas Day Week 17

We are back with betting predictions and picks for the Christmas Eve match as Denver Broncos (12-3) download Kansas City Chiefs (6-9). We’ll examine the upcoming odds and make a Broncos-Chiefs prediction.

The Broncos are first in the AFC West but are coming off a 34-20 loss to the Jacksonville Jaguars. That loss ended Denver’s remarkable 11-game winning streak. The Broncos are heavy road favorites over the Chiefs.

The Chiefs are in third place in the AFC West and suffered a 26-9 loss to the lowly Tennessee Titans in Week 16. The Chiefs have suffered a significant slump this season and will miss the playoffs for the first time since the 2014 season.

NFL betting odds thanks to DraftKings

Broncos vs. Chiefs Odds

Denver Broncos: -13.5 (-108)

Kansas City Chiefs: +13.5 (-112)

via: 36.5 (-108)

Under: 36.5 (-112)

Key Injuries Broncos vs. Chiefs

Broncos:VR Pat Bryant (concussion) questionable, C Luke Wattenberg (shoulder) questionable, TE Nate Adkins (knee) questionable, LB Dre Greenlove (hamstring) questionable, S Delarrin Turner-Iell (knee) questionable.

Bosses: VR Rashee Rice (concussion) questionable, VR Tiquan Thornton (concussion) questionable, RT Jailon Moore (knee) questionable, CB Trent McDuffie (knee) questionable, DT Derrick Nnadi (illness) questionable, CB Jailen Watson (groin) questionable, KB Patrick Mahomes (knee) out, KB Gardner Minshev (knee) out.

Broncos vs. Chiefs Betting trends

• The Chiefs are 5-9-1 ATS and the Broncos are 6-8-1 ATS.
• The Chiefs are 4-4 ATS in home games
• Although the Broncos are 5-2 straight up on the road, they are just 2-5 ATS in those games
• The Broncos are 0-4 ATS as road favorites
• The Chiefs are 1-1 as home underdogs
• The Chiefs have been a dominant “less” team this season, losing 11 out of 15 games by fewer than the announced games. They have fallen below the total in 7 of their 8 home games.
• The Broncos have fallen below their posted total in 8 of 15 games.

Broncos vs. Chiefs keys Matchups

This game could have had huge implications if the Chiefs had maintained their lofty position as a powerhouse in the AFC.

However, the Chiefs suffered a quick and dramatic decline this season, and the losses piled up, as did the injuries. QB Patrick Mahomes is lost with a torn ACL and backup QB Gardner Minshev is also out for the season with a knee injury.

While the chiefs lost their way, the Broncos became an elite team under the leadership of head coach Sean Payton. He achieved excellent results in the second year of KB Bo Nickand Denver is in first place in the AFC West and the team is looking to hold off the second-place Los Angeles Chargers. Denver and Los Angeles will meet in the final week of the season and that game could determine the division winner.

However, if the Broncos beat the Chiefs and the Chargers lose to the Texans this week, the Broncos will clinch the division title. The Broncos are also vying for the top seed in the AFC playoff structure. Denver can clinch the No. 1 seed in the AFC with a win over the Chiefs while the Chargers, Bills and Jaguars lose or tie and the Patriots lose.

Nix has control over the Broncos’ offense

The Broncos depend on Nix to lead the way. The sophomore KB completed 348 of 551 passes for 3,608 yards with 24 touchdowns and 10 interceptions. Wideout Courtland Sutton is his top receiver, and he caught 69 passes for 972 yards with 7 interceptions. Chiefs defensive end George Karlaftis leads his team with 6.0 sacks, but the Broncos should be able to keep him from dominating.

Denver has 4th ranked defense in the league as the Broncos allow 291.6 yards per game. That unit should be able to stop a Kansas City offense that will be forced to start Chris Oladokun at quarterback. He was promoted from the Chiefs practice squad after the injury to Mahomes. He replaced Minshev after his injury in Week 17 against the Titans and completed 11 of 16 passes for 111 yards.

Oladukon didn’t throw an interception, but that may be difficult to repeat against the Broncos.

Broncos vs. Chiefs Prediction and choice

The Broncos have important goals ahead of them, while the stunned Chiefs play to avoid a 10-loss season. The Broncos are the better team and much healthier than their opponent. They also have strong motivation to take care of business against an opponent that has ruled the AFC West for years.

This is a game where the Broncos should be able to jump ahead of the Chiefs early and maintain their lead. The Broncos are heavy favorites on the road against a battered but still proud opponent. Based on their performance this season, the Broncos will earn a win in this game, but the Chiefs should find a way to stay within a 13.5 point spread.

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